Alberto almost a CANE!!

But that is about as close as he is going to get. It appears Alberto underwent some unexpected intensification overnight and his winds have increased to near 70 mph. Alberto continues to move off to the N/NNE and is expected to make landfall sometime tomorrow. Alberto continues to be influenced by wind shear and an approaching Trough of Low Pressure. Alberto might have one last chance to make it to hurricane status before landfall due to a warm eddy of water south of Port St. Joe , FL. Hurricane warnings are out from the Eastern Florida Panhandle to West Central Florida however rain is more likely to be problematic than the wind.

Alberto

As of the 11 A.M. advisory from the NHC Td#1 has become Tropical Storm Alberto. Max winds are at 45 mph. Alberto is currently a terribly sheared system with all of the severe weather well to the east of the circulation center. Alberto continues to move to the NW/NNW slowly and a general turn to the N and NE is expected later in the forecast. There is some thinking that the Low Level Center may seperate totally from the precipitation and meander westward and discipate or WSW and toward the Bay Of Campeche. NO matter Alberto doesnt look to become any stronger in the short term and might actually not survive the high shear environment.

Still Watching

The system continues to try and organize. People in the Caymen Islands and Western tip of Cuae should be experiencing HEAVY rainfall throughout the day and evening. Computer models now bring this area into the south cenral/south eastern Gulf of Mexico by tomorrow night. Al linterests along the Florida West coast over to New Orleans should monitor the progress of this area of disturbed weather.

Monitoring the Northern Caribbean and Gulf

According to the National Hurricane Center and my friends at Storm2K it appears the distrubance in the Northern Caribbean is organizing. Various forecast models bring this disturbance in to the Gulf of Mexico. It is still to early to predict a track, however anywhere from Houston, TX to Key West, FL needs to keep an eye on the situation. I will post again later today or if anything develops sooner. **Nothing major to report other than it appears from buoy observations in the area that a low level center is forming. Recon aircraft from Keesler, AFB will be flying into the system tomorrow to investigate***

New Look and Feel to Blog

I figure I will devote this blog to keeping my friends updated on the current tropical happenings during the hurricane season. The Atlantic Hurricane season runs from June 1st thru November 30th. Enjoy the new changes and check back often for the latest updates.